Banana Stew


Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Speaking at the FTTH Conference



I will be speaking at the Fiber to the Home Conference in Nashville, TN next Monday. Last year was Vegas, this year it's the Opryland Hotel. Moving on up.

The topic of my presentation is "Next Generation PON: What is Beyond GPON?". It promises to be a thrill-a-minute ride combining pyrotechnics ripped from a Michael Bay production, heartwarming characters straight from the mind of Tyler Perry, and a stunning twist a la M. Night Shyamalan.

Seriously, though, the presentation should be quite good (in my humble opinion) with some very useful information compiled into an engaging format (no longer humble, but still an opinion). And, the last time I checked, there are about 8 other competing events at the show in the same time frame. So please come by.

If it's only the two of us, I'll spring for doughnuts.

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Thursday, August 14, 2008

The final video from NXTComm

It's taken about 2 months to edit and post (apparently), but Lightwave has finally posted the last of the three video interviews that I did at NXTComm.

Something's just not right in the way I look in this one. Maybe it's the lighting. Maybe it's the camera angle. Maybe it's the lack of sleep after 2 days in Las Vegas. Maybe I'm just really that creepy looking in real life.



I'm going with camera angle.

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Thursday, July 17, 2008

My 4500 - er - 2000 word article in Lightwave has been published

Lightwave Magazine just published an article I wrote for them on Next Generation PON. They asked for about 2000 words. I wrote about 4500. The longer version will be a nice white paper for customer use.

A few of the 2500 words cut out:
  • apparently (17 instances)
  • washboard
  • alliteration
  • marketability
  • scurrilous
  • fanciful
  • popinjay
  • scoundrel
  • wanker (12 instances)
  • netherworld
As I'm sure you can imagine, the longer version had a somewhat different target audience.

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Tuesday, July 01, 2008

More video from NXTComm

In this one, the insidious director's chairs return! Based on last year's slouching debacle, I remained in the most uncomfortable position possible on the edge of the chair. I think I pulled it off this time. You can't even see the grimaces of pain.

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Thursday, June 26, 2008

At least this time I'm not slouching

LightReading was hard up for quotes. So hard up that they used me twice in one video.

I'm not happy with the little curl of hair hanging down, but it was late and it was Vegas. I suppose I should be glad I didn't have anything more embarrassing showing.

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Friday, March 28, 2008

U-Verse is coming to Dunwoody, Georgia

AT&T has recently put up signs in a neighborhood in Dunwoody near my home announcing that they are "upgrading the network". Could this be one of the promised U-Verse deployments in Georgia?

Talking with contacts inside the old BellSouth, they would only admit that there are trial U-Verse deployments going on in a few places around Atlanta (Alpharetta and Kennesaw were mentioned). Those places are where some of the relevant executives live and are "very friendly". Plans to expand into Dunwoody are on the books, but no details have been announced.

I apologize for the poor quality of the photo. It was taken with my phone from inside my car. I'll try to get back around soon with a better image capture device.


Pretty huge sign, no? They're obviously making sure that everyone understands that it is a good thing that their lawns are about to be torn up.

What you can't read in the text is the standard marketing buzz about how great this upgrade will be, followed by an admission that some yards are going to be torn apart and a plea not to call and complain until they have had time to clean up the mess - up to a week after the network is complete.

I have friends who live in the area and will be sure to ask them if they've received any information in the mail or on the door yet.

While AT&T's FTTN strategy is pretty poor compared to Verizon's FTTH network, I am still very excited to see a competing triple-play company come into the neighborhood. On-line reviews of U-Verse have been generally good, within the limits of the technology chosen (only one HD channel at a time, for example). Anything that keeps Comcast honest is ok in my book.

Some people in the area may not realize that there was an earlier FTTH trial in the Dunwoody area. A subdivision in Dunwoody that was under construction at the time was chosen as the site of a FTTH trial. At the time I lived in Dunwoody and even I couldn't figure out where the trial was supposed to be happening. Apparently the trial didn't go very well, and no other announcements were made. According to my sources, the network is still in place and still working, but is stranded and not expected to be modernized any time soon.

For those unfamiliar with the area, the map below shows the location of the sign (green) as well as the other locations referenced.


View Larger Map

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Digital City Expo 2008 writeup ... featuring me

Yes, the title is a typo. We did not meet in the middle of a pie, cake, cookie, or other sweet confection. We met in the desert - hot, dry, and not tasty in the least.

Not only am I quoted, but there's also a cheeky little photo down at the end. I'm also off to the side in a few others, but unless you have a fancy "Blade Runner" photo analysis tool that allows you to go around corners, you'll just have to take my word for it.

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Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Take the Broadband Census

Everyone in the U.S. who can read this needs to go to BroadbandCensus.com and take the survey.

In case you didn't know, government entities and embedded monopolies are claiming that the U.S. is largely wired for broadband service. The numbers are highly suspect. The purpose of this website is to try to put some sanity in the numbers.

From broadbandcensus.com:

America has a need for better information about broadband.

The country needs to know where high-speed Internet service is available and where it isn't. And that is just the first step.

Next, consumers need to know the extent of broadband competition in their local area. They need to know the names of the carriers that offer broadband, the speeds they offer, and the prices they charge.

BroadbandCensus.com intends to fill this gap. We invite you to help us by taking the Broadband Census. You can do that right now.

The information that you provide will help other Internet users. And, through an agreement with the Pew Internet & American Life Project, your participation in the Broadband Census will help Pew and other researchers to improve our nation's understanding of the true state of broadband in America.

The Broadband Census is beginning with broadband competition and broadband availability. Next, we aim to add information about broadband speeds and broadband prices. Our goal is nothing less than to track high-speed Internet services everywhere.

Internet users should be be able to know whether they receive the speeds promised by broadband carriers. Help us to map out Internet services by taking the Broadband Census!

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Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Collaborative Map of FTTP Deployments Worldwide

I have been collaborating with Benoit Felton, a Yankee Group analyst based in Paris, and others on a map of FTTP (fiber to the premises) sites worldwide. For now, I'm doing most of the U.S. sites as time permits. There are still quite a few to add, since the U.S. FTTP deployments tend to be local municipal or utility networks, with the notable exception of Verizon's successful FiOS service.

It’s pretty impressive, and is something to think about when your local telecommunications provider claims that you should be happy with your 1Mbps DSL connection.

Please feel free to embed this map or a link in your blogs or webpages. The pressure for FTTH deployment needs to be kept up, especially in the U.S., where our access networks are rapidly becoming obsolete.

Green pins are active deployments. Yellow pins are trials or early-stage deployments. Red pins are announced deployments planned for the future.




Click here to access the map directly, download embedding code, and view in a much larger window.


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Wednesday, September 05, 2007

Fascinating Analysis of Internet Traffic in Japan

First - go read this pdf of an August 22, 2007 PowerPoint presentation on the Japanese Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications website.

Impressed? You should be. This is fascinating stuff.

In Japan, FTTH customers get 100Mbps bidirectional service for about the same that US customers are paying for less than 10Mbps downstream (and even less upstream). A day rarely passes that another North American service providers doesn't make a statement about 1Mbps/10Mbps/25Mbps being plenty. Even industry gadfly Om Malik dares to ask "what would you do with 100 megabits/second connection if you had one". More on that later - first let's take a look at this fascinating study and see how the Japanese are utilizing their bandwidth.

The average downstream internet traffic in Japan is over 720Gbps. That's the average, not the peak. Based on the other information in the document, the peak is easily in excess of a Terabit per second. (Other sources report that the median downstream speed per user in Japan is 61Mbps.) This is an increase of 1.4 times in a single year. So while all of those hockey-stick internet drawings of the late 90s may not have been true, there's no leveling off either. This is good news for those of us still in the telecommunications industry.

The hourly data on slide #3 (labeled #2) is one of the most interesting. Not only has the maximum bandwidth rate on an hourly basis gone up by a factor of 2.4 in 2.5 years, but even lowest bandwidth rate on an hourly basis doubled in 2.5 years. That means that even in the off-peak hours when everyone's supposed to be sleeping, the demand for bandwidth has risen 100%. Of course there are some late-night gaming and "entertainment" numbers in there, but I suspect that what this really shows is that people have developed applications that take advantage of the available bandwidth 24 hours a day. Remote storage, unattended download, network backup (work to home and vice-versa), video time- and place-shifting all become realizable applications when sufficient bandwidth is provided. (I have a colleague who set up a SlingBox in the U.S. and downloads local news and sports to his parents' DVR in Japan. The biggest limitation is the upload speed provided by his US ISP.)

Also fascinating about the hourly data graph is the way that the peaks have sharpened. The ratio between minimum rate in an hour and maximum rate in an hour has increased from 1.8 to about 2.3. This means that more and more people are using their bandwidth in a smaller window. And that window is not the US window around 3-5pm - it's between 9pm and 11pm. In the US, we call that "prime time". Could this possibly mean that Japanese consumers are actually using the internet to watch video? Real video, not the grainy little offerings on YouTube? You betcha! Cable TV isn't nearly as ubiquitous in Japan as it is in the US. Most people get their TV from the airwaves (there are still antennas all over the houses and condos). And the installation instructions for FTTH from NTT includes instructions on how to set up your big screen TV/monitor for streaming video. Also, of course, many people in Japan are at work until 8 or 9 pm, so you wouldn't expect to see a peak at 5. (There are grammar school kids in uniforms walking around Yokohama station at 8pm. Everything's shifted.)

I also like the un-noted fact on the hourly chart that the peaks spread out on the weekends. It's remarkable that the maximum doesn't go down, though. That means that the total demand for content (the area under the curve) is greater on the weekends than during the week. A nation of addicted on-line gamers eating up their free moments fighting dragons ... or a nation of weekend couch-potatoes that are increasingly getting the majority of their content on-line. I'd bet on the latter. [Aside: I'd imagine that US bandwidth trends would be the same if a real, on-demand standard definition, straight to the TV service could reliably be had over our pitiful DSL and cable modem connections.]

Slide #4 (labeled #3) has another fascinating set of facts. The incoming traffic to Japan has increased 1.7 times in the last year while outgoing traffic has remained relatively static. This implies that, while internet usage and on-line consumption has increased, content generation in Japan has not. That's not a pretty place to be if you're an information-technology based economy. Another interesting question that it raises is around ad placement. If you're trying to reach the Japanese consumer, where do you place your ads? Increasingly, that answer may not be with Japanese websites. Again, not a pretty place to be for Japanese businesses.

The Japanese model of broadband deployment separates the bandwidth provider from the content provider and ISP. Generally, NTT offers only a big pipe to their customers. The customers get their ISP, VoIP, content, etc. from other providers. One reason that this wholesale model works is because content providers who want the highest speed link to the consumers will also pay for access on the NTT network. However, the numbers in this study show that broadband customers are increasingly looking elsewhere for their content. That will be an interesting trend to follow. [Aside: this should not be an issue in the US, as we provide more content than anyone else in the world ... for better or for worse.]

So, back to the question way up in the second paragraph. What would US consumers do with a 100Mbps connection? The answer right now is probably "not much more than we currently do", and that's because our infrastructure isn't geared to handle it. However, if we did manage to step up the the plate and treat our data infrastructure like our transportation infrastructure and build the highways required to go from 35mph up to 70mph or more, then US consumers would probably use their bandwidth in ways very similar to our Japanese counterparts. In Japan, the applications have followed the bandwidth. Once you can assume that customers have at least 50Mbps to their homes, new services can be offered.

Can you imagine what all those Web 2.0 entrepreneurs could come up with if they could be assured of 100Mbps to prime customers?

Can you imagine what game designers could do with that bandwidth?

Can you imagine what Google - or even Microsoft - could develop that utilizes 100Mbps?

Sure it's a chicken and egg problem. Without the bandwidth the applications don't develop and without the applications the bandwidth providers claim there's no demand. But look at the numbers from Japan. With public policy assistance, the bandwidth came first. The applications - and the utilization of the bandwidth - is following along quickly.

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Hitachi's True Stories Campaign - FTTH in Bandon OR

I've used this video at a few trade shows and speeches, but it's recently been made available as an embedded Flash object. The story is true - Hitachi deployed the first GPON network in North America over a year ago in Bandon, Oregon. And the deployment has been a great success.

I like the artist guy myself. Note that his "son" is never actually seen. Hmmmm.

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Friday, July 27, 2007

Hitachi Image Search

I'm glad to see that Hitachi is now openly talking about its amazing new image search software. (See the SlashDot link and commentary here or the original article here.) I got a chance to see a demonstration the last time I was in Japan at the Central Research Laboratories. The software is absolutely mindblowing.

First a disclaimer. I am not a coder (any more) or a huge user of photo search software. I have used the on-line Google et. al. image searches that rely on context and tagging, but they don't really compare. Also, I currently work for another division of Hitachi. That's how I got the preview look, but I would have been equally impressed had the software come from anyone else.

The demonstration started with some basic searches. The operator/inventor picked a few images from the internet or his own personal collection (not a part of the indexed collection) and ran a search for similar pictures. It started pretty simple - he chose a picture of an open field and the results instantaneously returned a series of similar photos ranging from remarkably similar to sort of similar to the original. The process was continued with photos of flowers and other such inanimate objects.

Then, once we all understood the basic concept, we moved on to faces. The inventor/operator chose a non-famous person from a news article, and the software instantaneously returned a set of portraits. Note that he didn't specify that the image was a face - the software figured it out. The odd thing was that we humans in the room instantly noticed how similar the faces were - even if we couldn't really articulate what was similar about them. The search image was an Asian woman, and one of the results (down in the second group), was an image of a young Elvis Presley. That seemed an odd result at first, but upon further review we agreed that the composition of the images was such that they did indeed appear similar.

More impressive still was when the inventor/operator chose a promotional poster for "Pirates of the Caribbean" as his source photo. The results instantly came up with not only pictures of each of the actors on the poster, but also with images of cast interviews that had the poster in the background. Again, the operator/inventor hadn't designated or highlighted the faces in any way. The software figured it all out.

The image search was even more mind-blowing when applied to video. The operator/inventor could pick a photo of Condoleeza Rice and the search engine would immediately find video clips that featured her.

As explained to me, this software was not designed to be a replacement for something like Google Image Search. In the Hitachi version, the images and video clips are collected and tagged in a database. The tricks are in the way that the image information is coded and stored, then searched and retrieved. It is not only very accurate, but also very fast. As it was explained, this software was intended to be used in Enterprise applications, and it's not hard to come up with some interesting uses (security, journalism, multimedia production, etc.).

Personally, I would love to have a copy to run on my personal photo collection. Want to find all pictures of my kids? Start with their school picture and ... boom! Want to find all of the pictures that I've taken of the Eiffel Tower? Blip ... there they are. How about all pictures that include yellow rubber ducks? Bang ... all 12,000 of them.

Very cool. And you should have seen the other demonstrations ... but I'll wait for those public announcements first.

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Tuesday, July 10, 2007

NXTComm 2007 in review

Yes, it's not back to Supercomm levels, but it's still much better than the last few years.
  • Most of the traffic was press, analysts, and competitors, but there were enough customers to somewhat justify the expense. Visits to Hitachi's booth by such dignitaries as the CTO of a major ILEC justified our presence, at least.
  • There are many competing trade shows that are more targeted, and those appear to be better sources of leads. For example, a vendor of outside plant equipment that I talked to said that they had nearly zero traffic and NXTComm and would not be returning - in favor of OSP-specific trade shows.
  • Getting interviewed for Telephony TV is nice and lets you show off to your old high school friends and obscure relatives. I asked the camera operator if any mistakes would be put onto YouTube within 5 minutes. His reply was that their goal was to be below 4. Fortunately the interview went better than expected.
  • You're not a player in the telecomm business until you've been completely misquoted by LightReading. No need to issue any corrections. It'll keep the competition on their toes. Our customers know the real story.
  • I'm still waiting for my interview with Alhurra TV to be translated to Arabic and get posted. That will be surreal. Any good Arabic translators out there want to let me know what they claim I'm saying? [Update: The interview is on-line here. That link should make a video player open up. The introduction to my part starts around 13:30. They did a lot of editing.]
In final review, companies like Hitachi are going to have to be at NXTComm, as it is still the premier telecomm trade show and the ILECs do send representatives. The smaller guys are going to have to think long and hard before spending the big bucks.

My prediction is that the move to Las Vegas next year will result in an increase in the "official" number of attendees and a reduction in the number of actual attendees on the show floor. Especially early in the mornings.

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Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Telephony TV interview

So why didn't anyone tell me I was slouching?

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Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Well-conditioned for NXTComm

It's the first day of NXTComm here in Chicago, and I have interviews scheduled all day long. Seriously, I'll be talking to someone different nearly every half hour. The first one is going to be videotaped, played on show TV and archived on the web.

Thanks to travel restrictions, I no longer bring shampoo with me. I rely on the little shampoos in the hotels. Sure, it can be dicey, but the Mariott properties have generally good quality stuff and I have a generally small amount of hair to screw up anyway.

So this morning I get up early to prepare, step into the shower, and reach down to discover ... two bottles of conditioner and none of shampoo. Hmmmm. I don't think conditioner cleans very well.

For some reason, I recalled an Andy Rooney bit about how he never uses shampoo - he just rubs soap on his head a few times a week. I think I remembered that bit because it was the first time that I realized that Andy wasn't necessarily wise and knowledgeable in all areas equally.

However, his advice did come in useful this time. And I followed with two bottles of conditioner.

If you happen to run into me at NXTComm and/or watch my interview from this morning, please excuse my well-conditioned appearance.

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Friday, June 15, 2007

Advice to Graduate Students

A student of my former PhD advisor (previously at Georgia Tech, now at Duke) recently contacted me and asked if I had any advice or anything that I would have done differently as a graduate student. Now, it's been over 10 years since I received my PhD (feeling old here), so a lot has been lost to the sands of time. However, I did come up with the following tidbits. Good luck.

  1. At some point, most (or at least most successful) grad students start to consider their research as a job, not an extension of college. This happens later for some than for others. I worked with grad students who, 5 years into the plan, still hadn't made the transition. They were still coming in late, taking months off in the summer, pulling all-nighters just before reports were due. And after 5 years they weren't even close to having a thesis. The most successful researchers moved quickly out of this mode and into "job" mode: work 8-10 hour days consistently, avoid distractions into too many other projects that don't relate to your own, set goals and work to them, etc.
  2. Learn about the industry. If you want to be in research forever (I didn't), read the trade journals, go to the conferences, meet the leaders in the field. If you want to move into the industry, learn about what's going on. For example, I was working with what I considered high-speed transmission (155Mbps). That corresponds to an OC-3 in the telecommunications industry, so we called it "OC-3 speed". When I got ready to interview for a telecommunications job, a colleague sent me information on OC-3, OC-12, OC-48, and OC-192 plus the SONET framing involved. It was like reading Chinese - I had no point of reference. I should have been reading up on this industry stuff earlier in the process.
  3. Cultivate relationships inside and outside of your program. By the time you get out, your relationship with your advisor will probably be contentious. You've become a valuable resource and your advisor doesn't want to lose you, you started out as the neophyte and are leaving as the expert in your particular area, etc. Don't expect your advisor to find you a job. Go to conferences (if you can afford them). Communicate with others in the field. Keep in touch with graduates. Sign up for on-line programs like LinkedIn. You never know which connection will be the one that leads to a career. In my case, a former student introduced me to his manager at Fujitsu Network Communications and the rest is history.

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Monday, April 02, 2007

Digital City Expo 2007

Good lord, they put my face at the top of the page.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Speaking at the Fiber to the Home pre-Conference Workshop

I will be speaking at the Lightwave-sponsored pre-conference workshop at the Fiber to the Home Conference and Expo in Las Vegas next week. The workshop is "The Market Dynamics of FTTX and Video Service Provisioning". Trust me, it's more exciting than it sounds. For people in my industry, this is a very cool topic.

The title of the panel that I will be participating in is "EPON vs. GPON vs. Active -- Which is Best for Video?" Here's a link to a PDF agenda. It has the wrong title for me, but otherwise appears accurate.

The format will be a debate between GPON, EPON, and Active Ethernet as a video-delivery medium. The obvious answer is of course GPON, but we'll go through the motions anyway.

Feel free to stop by the Hitachi booth at the Expo, as I imagine I'll be there quite a lot during the show.

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Tuesday, August 15, 2006

LinkedIn upgrades, too

You can now view my LinkedIn profile in a nice, clean URL.

http://www.linkedin.com/in/scottwilkinson

It's a very cool service, but I do try to limit my personal connections to people that I can actually recall - so please don't send me a bunch of invites. I'm flattered, of course, but can't we just be friends?

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Friday, August 11, 2006

Published article on Bandon GPON

An article that I co-wrote with Jim Stadler (CEO of ComSpanUSA) has just been published in the June issue of Broadband Properties.


The article, which is titled "The Super-Fast Bandon GPON Product" is a very interesting overview of the first true 2.4Gbps GPON deployment in the US.

Bandon, Oregon contracted a CLEC (ComSpanUSA) to deploy the network, and this article shows a bit of how they went about making their decisions about equipment, technology, and customer services. I highly recommend it - at least the parts that John wrote.

Additionally, BBP put a lot of effort into the graphics and layout, and I think it came out very nicely.

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Monday, August 07, 2006

A Humble Suggestion for the Legal Team at Rogers Communications

This is a very interesting and quite helpful book. For $2.13million, you can buy roughly 160,000 copies (plus shipping).

See "Where did that come from" below for more details.

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Tuesday, July 11, 2006

Telecomm Detritus

Sorry, just too busy to blog these days. Here's a post from another, defunct blog-from-the-past for your retro enjoyment.

Telecomm Detritus

The most satisfying part of travelling for any trade show attendee is coming home and sifting through the piles of free giveaways accumulated on the trip. From suit pockets, carry-on bags, and overstuffed luggage compartments come a variety of items that no one would ever actually purchase, but which inexplicably gain value when given away at no cost. These items rarely last very long, as they are quickly broken by over-zealous offspring or surreptitiously discarded by clutter-overloaded spouses (spice?).

We, however, have an inner packrat (albeit without the unattractive overbite) and an outer office or two piled high with the detritus of trade shows past. Searching through the voluminous archives of free giveaways here at Telecommedy Central can be a cathartic and occasionally maudlin experience. We're always running across a relic from some bygone company of the Telecomm boom, now remembered only for the free T-shirt or battery-powered tchotchke.

(Click on the photos for a larger, but otherwise no better, photograph.)

First, the pens

The cheapest of all giveaways, the last resort of the small company that blew their budget on that fancy two-level booth with professional representatives, and the only remaining freebee to survive the bust, the mighty pen is the cockroach of the trade show tchotchke.

The elusive Optical Networks pen, before they changed their name to ONI, made gobs of cash for their founders and certain Williams Network employees, got purchased by Ciena, and faded into obscurity.

The pen's pretty cheap and rather unimpressive. It must have been given out before the windfall allowed them to upgrade to much fancier writing implements.

Callipso. They were all over the press, touting their data solutions for revolutionizing buisiness throughout the world. The gods became angry at them for misspelling the name of their favorite island music. Chapter 11, followed by dismemberment and a ritual burning.

The pen still works, and the snazzy clip is fun to fiddle with during long meetings.



Then the yo-yos

Small toys that can be used to pass the interminable hours on one's feet in a trade show booth are always appreciated. Small bouncy balls are particularly nice. At one trade show, we started a game after hours trying to loft bouncy balls into the Lucent "coffee stain" on a nearly banner (final score Good Guys: 20, Bad Guys: 15, Banner: somewhat less presentable). Although we have quite a few bouncy balls in our collection, none of them are from companies that have disappeared yet (give them time).

The second choice for time-passing amusement is the yo-yo. It takes slightly more skill, rolls away into the neighboring booths less often, and usually breaks within a few hours of being brought home to the offspring. So, the fact that not one but two remain in our collection is worthy of a hearty backslapping (followed by a hearty application of Ben Gay to the awkwardly strained muscles).

Nortel-Bay. Anyone remember Bay anymore?

Nortel bought Bay, an innocent little switch vendor with big aspirations, back in the heyday of telecomm. It was touted as a merger, and the combined company went by the name Nortel-Bay. For about six months. Then the Canadian power structure pulled the old switcheroo and Bay was dropped faster than Priscilla Presley's latest husband (Nicholas Cage?! Michael Jackson?! Even the impersonators are offended.)

This yo-yo is real wood and actually works quite well. It has provided many hours of entertainment and several broken vases of varying color and quality.

Virata made DSL chipsets before DSL chipsets were cool (they aren't anymore, it was a short honeymoon). They made them so well that Globespan bought them and they decided to share names as GlobespanVirata (see Nortel-Bay above) - a truly unwieldy name that, fortunately, was discarded when the whole mess was purchased by Conexant.

This yo-yo is battery powered and lights up when you yo it. Or at least it used to at one point. now it just sits around and leaks vaguely nauseating battery fluid.

T-Shirts: The holy grail

Nothing excites the trade show attendee more than the free t-shirt giveaway. Attendees will map out intricate agendas to ensure that they can maximuze their t-shirt return. Rumors of high quality t-shirts are passed in hushed tones to trusted allies. Presentations of no discernable value to one's business are endured in the hopes of securing a particularly unique t-shirt. At the height of the boom, industrious trade show attendees could clothe themselves for an entire year just in free t-shirts.

Of course, few considered the downside of the t-shirt giveaway. Many fancy three-color silkscreens ended up being primarily displayed over the sweaty and copious abdomens of overweight and unattractive telecomm minions mowing their lawns in the height of summer. Or even less attractive as a marketing goal - many homeless folks in Atlanta (home of Supercomm just after since the Civil War) ended up sporting attractive telecomm-related t-shirts donated by telecomm spouses fed up with the overwhelming proliferation of geekwear.

However, the t-shirt still reigns as the holy grail of trade show freebees. Although their appearance has somewhat slacked off in recent years, the intrepid tradeshow attendee can still score a slightly small, garishly colored, hastily made t-shirt or two and effectively avoid spending money on clothing for just a bit longer. We personally have not paid money for a t-shirt since 1987 (the final Journey tour of any real vaule).

The Netspeed T-shirt - not only dated in that Netspeed was swallowed by the Borg many years ago, but also in its quaint idea that ADSL is the way of the future. We're way past that now - the popular acronym now is ADSL 2. Sometimes with an extra "+" thrown in to show that it's even better.

Still, any t-shirt that can stand up to use for nearly 6 years is worthy of mention. Plus, it has the added benefit of prominent use of acronyms, making the wearer appear to be telecomm savvy to the non-telecomm crowd.


This t-shirt from Triton is especially interesting in that it does not appear to be a telecomm-related t-shirt at first glance. Most casual observers assume that it is a golf-related t-shirt - due primarily to the prominent placement of a golfer on the back. This confusion is helpful when dealing with the common, non-telecomm folk as it makes them more at ease. Golf is something that most people understand, even if some of them believe it to be an environmentally dangerous pastime of the bourgeoisie.

Triton made some sort of chip for telecomm. We're not exactly sure. According to our stock research "since August 20, 2001, the Company's activities have been limited primarily to selling remaining assets; paying creditors; terminating any remaining commercial agreements, relationships and outstanding obligations; continuing to honor certain obligations to customers; and conserving cash". And that doesn't sound like much of a business plan for success.

Unique and unusual

These are the items that were different from the crowd and, on occasion, actually useful beyond the trade show pavillion. We must admire those who strive to stand out from the pack of key rings, pens, and bouncy balls to provide the lowly trade show attendee with something that they can give away to obscure relatives as Christmas gifts.

A tiny, battery-powered microphone from Kestrel Solutions. Perfect for recording rude noises and playing them back at inopportune times, these were quite popular when handed out somewhere around 1999. Also truly unique, as we have never seen this giveaway repeated. Which is odd considering the blinding success of Kestrel.

Kestrel Solutions raised over 300 million dollars in financing and supposedly raffled off a Porsche to their employees before filing for bankruptcy and disappearing into Silicon Valley purgatory. We didn't get a car, but the microphone is nice, although the batteries died a few years ago and we haven't bothered to attempt to figure out how to replace them.

A tiny screwdriver from Cascade. Cascade became Ascend became Lucent. Most telecomm startups are now required to have a former Cascade executive on the board, so you still see the name around a lot. This screwdriver is from their "Education Services", which we imagine is something like a Siberian "education facility".

We use the screwdriver to open the battery compartment on our childrens' toys. Although probably not its original intent, this giveaway is breaking with tradition by proving useful long beyond the tradeshow.

Newbridge. Leader of the world in frame relay. Purchased then unceremoniously squashed by Alcatel.

This is a notepad cube announcing some product or other. The interesting part is the Leonardo DaVinci drawings on the sides of cube. If we remember correctly, there was an associated trade show skit involving Leonardo and some scantily-clad Mona Lisa look-alikes. But that may have just been a dream. A beautiful, beautiful dream.

This notepad cube is deployed next to our phone, ready to be used for jotting down important messages. The large number of remaining pages should give some indication of our popularity among phone-call-generating colleagues.

AFC gave away these little tins of cheap mints. The cutesy name (acromynts) was echoed inside by the acronyms on each mint. The mints are all gone from our tin (we use it now to store shiny objects that we have found on the street), but we seem to recall that the acronyms included FTTP, DSL, PON, WWJD, and others.

Although initially appalling in flavor and texture, the mints became addictive as the trade show wore on. Soon, an underground black market in mints arose, with rival gangs claiming turf between discinct sets of aisles. Skirmishes broke out, nasty emails were sent to unsuspecting Blackberries, and the authorities eventually had to be called in to restore order. An object lesson for anyone to consider before bringing edible giveaways to a trade show.

AFC, of course, had the temerity to actually win a huge contract from Verizon and was punished by being bought by Tellabs. Let that be a lesson to startups everywhere to be careful what you wish for.

In honor of the unknown startup

In recognition of all of the other nameless, faceless startups, we present this true collectors' item from Supercomm 2000. That year, a group of startup companies with small tradeshow budgets banded together to put on a show that could compete with the likes of Nortel (Blues Brothers performance), Fujitsu (Ray Charles performance), and Lucent (dancing bears). They called themselves the "Upstarts" and hired diminutive commedian Martin Short for a shindig complete with free drinks.

Hiring a performer who speaks and expects people to listen rather than a performer who plays loud music and expects people to move around is not a brilliant idea for a trade show. This is an audience full of people who talk for a living - and their customers, with whom they wish to talk. They don't shut up long enough to listen to themselves, much less listen to a Canadian SNL alumnus. It didn't go well for the "Upstarts". Mr. Short ended his act early and left the stage in disgust. The success of the entire debacle should be judged by the fact that nearly 5 years later, we still have a ticket for a free, unconsumed drink.

I'm sure that there is an object lesson, and maybe even a moral, in there somewhere. Something about poor decision making by startups during the boom. However, we are not the moralizing type and don't wish to offend anyone who may end up hiring us in the future. So, let's just say that it was a one-time event that will be compensated for in our future decision making.

What's that on your shelf?

Rather than prattle on and on until you, our poor reader(s), are tired, disgusted, and woefully behind on your homework, we'll stop here and make a request. Do you have an addition for our museum of lost opportunities? If so, send it along. If we can figure out this photo-posting thing, we may even post it. Or maybe not - it really depends on whether or not we like the way you spell your name.

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Thursday, April 20, 2006

Speaking at Digital City Expo 2006

Demonstrating a remarkably short memory span, the good folks at the Digital City Expo have invited me back to speak again this year.

Here's a smarmy biography, and here's an overview of the presentation. It even has a Press Release.

You'll note that there is a co-speaker - Mr. John Stadler of ComSpan USA. His is by far the more interesting part of the talk, and I highly recommend that you see it. What ComSpan is doing in Bandon, Oregon and elsewhere is truly remarkable.




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Thursday, February 23, 2006

FTTX Explained for You

Since I'm spending all of my time updating the Enloe post, I haven't had time to write anything else. So, here's an old creation from over a year ago that was written for another, now defunct site.

Enjoy!

Recommending a High Fiber Diet

Fiber to the Everywhere

The latest craze in the telecomm world is fiber to the [geographical noun], or FTTX, a nifty brand new technology invented only a few decades ago that promises to make it possible for most human beings to never leave their homes again by deploying fiber optic cable directly to the couch. And, as most anyone not on the Atkins starve-until-your-body-starts-to-eat-itself diet is well aware, adding more fiber to your diet is recommended by most medical doctors whose degrees were not obtained via an email soliciation.

Fiber ubiquity is a lofty goal, especially in America where we're mostly still using copper lines that were actually installed by Alexander Graham Bell himself (he was a very busy man who lived to be nearly 175 years old). In countries like Japan, nearly everyone has or can get fiber all the way to their home. But to be fair Japan had the unfair advantage of having their infrastructure bombed into atoms merely 50-odd years ago. It's hard to compete against that kind of prescient urban planning.

What's in it for Me?

Unlike most of the recent fads in telecom that were pants-wetting exciting to the bearded few and of less interest than a C-SPAN marathon to the average human being, ubiquitous fiber actually impacts normal people in a tangible and marvelous way. Not only will most of us get to experience underground boring machines tearing through our sewer lines on Friday afternoon ("Someone will be out to look at that on Monday between 6am and 7pm, m'am"), but we're also promised nifty new ways to experience the most important and cental feature of American life - television. And we'll get some fast internet stuff, too.

It is no secret to anyone (except those still paying for AT&T long distance and AOL users) that telecomm companies are losing customers. How many people do you know who order a second line for their home anymore? I'll tell you how many you know - you don't know any. They get cell phones or the put in the fancy-schmancy VoIP boxes that they can't stop bragging about despite the fact that every time the kids plug in their X-Box the phone line goes dead. And some people even have the audacity to get rid of their regular phone line altogether! The nerve! Choosing a less expensive and more convenient option over the embedded monopoly! That's ... why that's ... capitalistic!

So, what is a lonely telecomm company to do when its friends (who pay it money on a regular basis) start leaving it for a more attractive communications company with better hair? Well, the less attractive, "big-boned" companies have looked deep into their customers' souls and discovered that while most people can live without a phone, they will give up food for the children to avoid missing the latest Oprah episode (the one with the girl who has the thing and Oprah makes the audience cry then gives them all gift certificates). Enter fiber ubiquity, which will allow fabulous video services to be provided to every customer in America who lives within a very specific trial area and has purchased a house within the last 2-3 weeks and does not currently have a phone installed. And you'll get some fast internet stuff, too.

The actual way that the television signal will get into your home depends on who brings it to you. There are several options, none of which really matter to you right now. The important thing is that you'll get over 100 channels of high-quality video including pay-per-view, which you will be pressured to purchase in quantity to help defray the cost of repairing the sewer in your front yard.

And Some Fast Internet Stuff, Too

Here in the US, cable companies and telcos nearly pull their arms out of the sockets patting themselves on the back for providing their customers with up to 3million bits per second of internet download speed. Really, they claim, why would you want any more? In Asia, customers are getting speeds up to 30 times faster for about the same price per month. And they are using all of the bandwidth that their providers can give them. Which begs the question, what are they doing with all of that bandwidth?

Quite simply, the main applications are the same as in the US. Namely, downloading porn. Sure, there's some other stuff, too - like streaming video, file transfers, photograph sharing, and strictly legal music downloads. But, as with everything internet related, it eventually comes down to high-quality, full-length videos where the primary color on-screen is flesh and the dialog uses significantly more vowel sounds than consonants. With fiber ubiquity, couch potatos will be able to simultaneously download a movie while watching it on high definition pay-per-view television (except in most of Utah and parts of Washington, DC). And that, loyal readers, is a lofty goal for the USA.


Some Acronyms with your Fiber, Sir?

The advent and popularity of ubiquitous fiber has led to a bumper crop of confusing and contradictory acronyms. To impress your less regular friends with your healthy fiber knowledge, merely memorize and occasionally excrete the following set compiled for your benefit.

  • FTTP: Fiber to the Premise. This is an all-encompasing acronym covering just about anything. Due to the newfound popularity of ubiquitous fiber, nearly every company will find a way to squeeze this one into their press releases. See, for example, the newest "FTTP Burger" from McDonald's.

  • FTTH: Fiber to the Home. What the industry is convinced that you, the homeowner, cannot live without. This marvelous technology would deliver television, telephone, and internet directly to your home! OK, so maybe you think that you already have that. Trust us, this is better. It's fiber!

  • FTTC: Fiber to the Curb: A weasely cop-out by companies that want to run fiber right up near yout home, but not actually into it. Sort of like selling you a house right on the water, but requiring you to walk through a glass-filled abandoned lot to actually get there. It's nice, and you're not going to turn it down, but really - why not go ahead and put in the boardwalk?

  • FTTN: Fiber to the Node. SBC made this one up as a part of their public announcements. After hours of analysis by the best brains in the business, most people have concluded that FTTN is the same thing as FTTC, but with the added benefit of creating a new acronym that only applies to the West Coast and parts of Texas.

  • FTTB: Fiber to the Business. Providing your employees with sufficient fiber to surf the web up to 25% more often, ensuring America's further dominance of the technology fields.

  • FTTX: Fiber to the [geographical location]. A cheap cop-out meaning "all of the above", this one is only used by vendors who are afraid to offend SBC ("FTTN is different, dammit!") and by hack writers with little-seen blogs.


No More Regularity Comments

Yes, gentle readers (note: gentle readers is a copyright of Miss Manners, who will bust a cap in you if you don't mention her when you use it), ubiquitous fiber offers the promise of a beautiful future for telecomm equipment vendors and discredited telecomm executives all over the US and parts of Canada. Unlike the telecom frenzies of the past, calm and rational minds are fully in control of this latest frenzy, ensuring succesful deployment and bounteous riches for everyone involved.

And in the spirit of completely rational exhuberence, you may now refer to me as as the FTTFTTXB (Fiber to the Fiber to the [geographical location] blogger.

Thank you for your valuable and unrecoverable time.




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Thursday, December 15, 2005

Five Rules for RFP Authors

It has dominated my life for the last month, and now the RFP is gone. For future reference, if you're going to issue an RFP, here are some rules suggestions.

Number 1 : Do not under any circumstances require the respondents to use the "track changes" feature of Microsoft Word.

This is just evil, especially on a long document. Typically, responding to a several thousand question document requires breaking up that document and having many people work in parallel. However, if you require "track changes" to be on, it is impossible to just paste all of those separate sections into one coherent total document. What ends up happening is one person sits all night cutting and pasting individual requirements into a clean original. And then if typos are discovered, the whole process could start all over. The potential for errors is enormous, as the person delegated to cut and paste can make one mistake and screw up dozens of answers.

Why not just let the responders put the responses in blue italics or something similarly easy to distinguish? There is no value in forcing "track changes" and the pain it inflicts on your respondents is tremendous. Unless that was your goal all along, of course.

Number 2 : Less is More

My wife's company once made everyone fill out an empoyee evaluation form for all employees. The form had 50 categories, meaning that each category was worth only 2% of the total. So, if a category was titled "Propensity for Stealing from the Company" and the employee got the lowest possible score, he'd still be doing just fine overall. The point is that there was no way to get a clear picture or point out areas for improvement when each response was essentially individually negligible.

Please remember this lesson when preparing your RFP. If you include over 4000 questions, the odds of your getting anything useful from the response is vanishingly small. The reality is, as your responders well know, that only 20 to 50 of the questions really matter. The rest is details that can be worked out in later discussions. Yet, if you insist that all 4000 questions are equally important, you'll end up with lousy and rushed answers to everything - including the 20 to 50 that you really care about.

The ideal RFP would be less than 100 questions with opportunities for the responders to fill in detials in informational requests. Asking detailed questions about each requirement - particularly if you're listing all of the requirements in an industry standard - is a waste of everyone's time.

Number 3 : Limit the contr